Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-2 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 48%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.31/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.28
+63% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
13.6 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bolivar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.92 xG 2.28
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
194 Passes 444
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.08.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 4-0 HT 2-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
07.04.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
18.02.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3-2
AWAY Bolivar
2.11 xG 1.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
179 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ edged past Bolivar 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bolivar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 37% of the ball to Bolivar's 63%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.11 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 2.67 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolivar?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-2 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 32%, draw 21%, Bolivar 47%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolivar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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