El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
3-4
HT 1-2
El Nacional
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-2
Independiente Del Valle
EKVK
2-0
HT 2-0
El Nacional
EKV1
El Nacional 1-0 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional nicked a narrow win over Independiente Del Valle 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Independiente Del Valle at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, El Nacional had 40% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 60%, shots finished 11-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Nacional and 2.00 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle?
El Nacional 1-0 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 17%, draw 28%, Independiente Del Valle 55%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5 went the other way.