Auxerre U19 1-2 Hoffenheim U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.07
Over Pick
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.02
2-3
36%
1.86
4-5
33%
3.17
6+
9%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
4.65
1/2
4%
24.3
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
5%
6.91
X/2
19%
4.98
X/X
8%
5.07
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
17%
2.93
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.65 — our 25% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre U19
1-2
AWAY Hoffenheim U19
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Auxerre U19 vs Hoffenheim U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim U19 edged past Auxerre U19 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hoffenheim U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Auxerre U19 had 52% of the ball to Hoffenheim U19's 48%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Auxerre U19 vs Hoffenheim U19?

Auxerre U19 1-2 Hoffenheim U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre U19 vs Hoffenheim U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Auxerre U19 38%, draw 22%, Hoffenheim U19 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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