Bologna U19 2-2 Lille U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 23% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna U19
2-2
AWAY Lille U19
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bologna U19 vs Lille U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna U19 and Lille U19 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lille U19 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bologna U19 had 34% of the ball to Lille U19's 66%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Bologna U19 vs Lille U19?

Bologna U19 2-2 Lille U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna U19 vs Lille U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bologna U19 31%, draw 23%, Lille U19 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lille U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lille U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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