Liverpool U19 0-1 Real Madrid U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.54
2-3 Goals
47%
2.03
4-5 Goals
25%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
6.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.0pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.10/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.63
+58% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -31%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 84%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
17.0 Crosses 37.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
04.11.2014 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 4-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool U19 Liverpool U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool U19
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid U19
1.19 xG 2.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
392 Passes 374
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool U19 vs Real Madrid U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 squeezed past Liverpool U19 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool U19 had 51% of the ball to Real Madrid U19's 49%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.19 to 2.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid U19's control.

What was the final score of Liverpool U19 vs Real Madrid U19?

Liverpool U19 0-1 Real Madrid U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool U19 vs Real Madrid U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Liverpool U19 25%, draw 29%, Real Madrid U19 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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