PSV U19 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.41/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.77
-29% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +127%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
428 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV U19
1-1
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk U19
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PSV U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV U19 and Shakhtar Donetsk U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PSV U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, PSV U19 had 67% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk U19's 33%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of PSV U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19?

PSV U19 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PSV U19 48%, draw 24%, Shakhtar Donetsk U19 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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