Pohang Steelers 2-0 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.95
No
40%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.29
2-3
44%
1.86
4-5
24%
2.82
6+
10%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
47%
+12.4pp
40%
BTTS No
53%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 14%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
40.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
41.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.58 xG 1.21
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
524 Passes 318
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2025 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers AFCŞL2
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers saw off BG Pathum United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs BG Pathum United?

Pohang Steelers 2-0 BG Pathum United in the AFCŞL2 on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 58%, draw 23%, BG Pathum United 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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