Cong An Nhan Dan vs Beijing Guoan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cong An Nhan Dan v Beijing Guoan — Team-Based Signals
Cong An Nhan Dan vs Beijing Guoan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Cong An Nhan Dan 2-1 Beijing Guoan — Actual Match Statistics
Cong An Nhan Dan nicked a narrow win over Beijing Guoan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 41%) promised a tight game; Cong An Nhan Dan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Cong An Nhan Dan had 60% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 40%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.92 to 1.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cong An Nhan Dan's control.
What was the final score of Cong An Nhan Dan vs Beijing Guoan?
Cong An Nhan Dan 2-1 Beijing Guoan in the AFCŞL2 on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cong An Nhan Dan vs Beijing Guoan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cong An Nhan Dan 39%, draw 20%, Beijing Guoan 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.