Tampines Rovers 5-3 Kaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.61
Over
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
20%
5.59
2-3
38%
2.02
4-5
26%
2.52
6+
16%
5.61
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.59 — our 20% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Tampines Rovers win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
77%
-9.5pp
18%
Draw
14%
+4.1pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.4pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampines Rovers EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaya EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
446 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
Crosses 8.7
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampines Rovers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kaya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.07 xG 0.51
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
604 Passes 220
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2025 Kaya Kaya 0-3 HT 0-0 Tampines Rovers Tampines Rovers AFCŞL2
26.02.2020 Kaya Kaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Tampines Rovers Tampines Rovers AFCC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampines Rovers
5-3
AWAY Kaya
3.62 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 17
12 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
403 Passes 354
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tampines Rovers vs Kaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampines Rovers saw off Kaya 5-3. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tampines Rovers as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tampines Rovers had 53% of the ball to Kaya's 47%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 3.62 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tampines Rovers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tampines Rovers and 0.00 for Kaya.

What was the final score of Tampines Rovers vs Kaya?

Tampines Rovers 5-3 Kaya in the AFCŞL2 on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampines Rovers vs Kaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampines Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Tampines Rovers 68%, draw 18%, Kaya 14%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampines Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tampines Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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