Smouha 3-1 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.6pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 224
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
11.04.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
26.12.2024 Smouha Smouha 2-4 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
02.05.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
30.12.2022 Smouha Smouha 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
31.07.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha saw off Ghazl El Mehalla 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ghazl El Mehalla led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Smouha and 1.00 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Smouha 3-1 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Cup on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Smouha 46%, draw 31%, Ghazl El Mehalla 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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