OH Leuven 2-0 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Dec 2024

📅27/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
19%
4.05
X/2
6%
9.46
X/X
14%
5.31
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
10%
7.22
2/X
5%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -13%
1.70/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.88
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.9 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Beerschot VA
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.21 xG 1.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 271
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
22.01.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 3-1 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
02.10.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
30.01.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
31.10.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 4-2 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
02.08.2020 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-4 HT 0-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven saw off Beerschot VA 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had OH Leuven as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beerschot VA led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for OH Leuven and 2.00 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Beerschot VA?

OH Leuven 2-0 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 54%, draw 25%, Beerschot VA 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ BTTS No
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