St. Truidense 1-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Dec 2024

📅27/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.4
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
17%
5.36
X/2
10%
6.07
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.06
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.77/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.46
+9% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.2 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.14 xG 2.11
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
344 Passes 195
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
21 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEK
29.09.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
04.02.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
27.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
15.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
12.11.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense and Cercle Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Truidense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Truidense and 1.83 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Cercle Brugge?

St. Truidense 1-1 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 42%, draw 26%, Cercle Brugge 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Truidense), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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