East Fife 0-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Fife EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.67/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.70
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Fife
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.10.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-3 HT 0-1 East Fife East Fife İK1
23.08.2025 East Fife East Fife 2-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.07.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İKLK
17.07.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-0 HT 2-0 East Fife East Fife İKLK
POST-MATCH East Fife vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts squeezed past East Fife 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was East Fife at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, East Fife had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for East Fife and 1.00 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of East Fife vs Kelty Hearts?

East Fife 0-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Fife vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split East Fife 50%, draw 27%, Kelty Hearts 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (East Fife), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Fife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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