Queen Of The South 4-1 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 32% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
1.58/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.21
+2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hamilton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
24.10.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
09.08.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-4 HT 0-2 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
30.03.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
03.02.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
02.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-0 HT 3-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
23.09.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South ran out comfortable winners over Hamilton 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Queen Of The South as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.33 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Hamilton?

Queen Of The South 4-1 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 45%, draw 25%, Hamilton 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queen Of The South) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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