Al Shahaniya 3-0 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Dec 2025

Al Shahaniya
3-0 HT 2-0
Al Gharafa
📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Qatar League – 2025/2026

Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.69
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
62%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
15%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
24%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
62%
Away Win
53%
+9.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shahaniya v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.32/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.96
-31% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
300 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 86%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
17.2 Crosses 21.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shahaniya
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.12 xG 2.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
329 Passes 413
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
18.04.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
08.12.2024 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
03.01.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
11.03.2015 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
21.10.2014 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT

Al Shahaniya 3-0 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shahaniya
3-0
AWAY Al Gharafa
2.10 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
263 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shahaniya swept aside Al Gharafa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. Al Gharafa carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Shahaniya had 45% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 55%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.10 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Shahaniya and 2.40 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa?

Al Shahaniya 3-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shahaniya vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Shahaniya 18%, draw 19%, Al Gharafa 62%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Gharafa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →