Al Gharafa 1-2 Al Shahaniya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.86
2-3 Goals
42%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.8pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.21
+23% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.5 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shahaniya
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.88 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
382 Passes 335
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
45 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
03.01.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
11.03.2015 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
21.10.2014 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
1-2
AWAY Al Shahaniya
1.70 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
444 Passes 323
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shahaniya edged past Al Gharafa 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Gharafa at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 57% of the ball to Al Shahaniya's 43%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.86 — on chances, Al Gharafa could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.50 for Al Shahaniya.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya?

Al Gharafa 1-2 Al Shahaniya in the Qatar League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Shahaniya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 47%, draw 29%, Al Shahaniya 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Gharafa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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