Umm Salal vs Al Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Arabi — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Arabi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Umm Salal
KATYK
0-3
HT 0-3
Umm Salal
KAT
2-1
HT 0-1
Al Arabi
KAT
4-4
HT 3-1
Al Arabi
KATYK
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Arabi
KATYK
1-1
HT 0-0
Umm Salal
KAT
Umm Salal saw off Al Arabi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Umm Salal and 1.33 for Al Arabi.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Arabi?
Umm Salal 2-0 Al Arabi in the Qatar League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Arabi?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 28%, draw 23%, Al Arabi 49%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.