Al Shamal 1-0 Al Wakrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.18/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.20
-12% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
13.7 Crosses 23.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Wakrah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 1.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
226 Passes 358
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
11.11.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
16.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
27.08.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
13.04.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 5-1 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
25.02.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
1-0
AWAY Al Wakrah
1.07 xG 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal edged past Al Wakrah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Shamal as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shamal had 45% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 55%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.07 to 1.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Wakrah.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Shamal and 1.33 for Al Wakrah.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah?

Al Shamal 1-0 Al Wakrah in the Qatar League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 41%, draw 24%, Al Wakrah 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shamal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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