Al Sadd 5-0 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.46
Over 2.5
65%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.98
2-3 Goals
35%
2.32
4-5 Goals
29%
2.31
6+ Goals
17%
3.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
79%
-18.9pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.5pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
25%
+9.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
75%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.90/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.33
+18% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
500 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
20.1 Crosses 10.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.87 xG 1.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
438 Passes 250
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
17.04.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-9 HT 1-3 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
26.08.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
20.02.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
07.10.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
17.08.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd swept aside Al Ahli 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Al Sadd and 1.50 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Al Ahli?

Al Sadd 5-0 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 61%, draw 20%, Al Ahli 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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