Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.51
Over
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No Pick
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.11/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.94
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Aviles
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
12.02.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
24.09.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1-1
AWAY Real Aviles
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Torrelavega and Real Aviles shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastica Torrelavega at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Gimnastica Torrelavega had 56% of the ball to Real Aviles's 44%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimnastica Torrelavega and 1.33 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Aviles?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Torrelavega win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 41%, draw 25%, Real Aviles 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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