Izarra 0-2 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
38%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.5pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.32/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.70
-65% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 45.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
0W-1D-1L
AWAY UD Logrones
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
17.09.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 4-1 HT 2-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
06.12.2019 Izarra Izarra 2-2 HT 0-2 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
0-2
AWAY UD Logrones
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Izarra vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones got the better of Izarra 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Izarra had 55% of the ball to UD Logrones's 45%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Logrones led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Izarra and 3.00 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Izarra vs UD Logrones?

Izarra 0-2 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Izarra 26%, draw 26%, UD Logrones 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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