Lleida Esportiu vs UD Alzira Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lleida Esportiu v UD Alzira — Team-Based Signals
Lleida Esportiu vs UD Alzira Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Lleida Esportiu
İS4
2-2
HT 1-1
Lleida Esportiu
İS4
0-1
HT 0-1
UD Alzira
İS4
Lleida Esportiu 3-1 UD Alzira — Actual Match Statistics
Lleida Esportiu saw off UD Alzira 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lleida Esportiu as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lleida Esportiu had 54% of the ball to UD Alzira's 46%, shots finished 19-5.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lleida Esportiu and 1.00 for UD Alzira.
What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs UD Alzira?
Lleida Esportiu 3-1 UD Alzira in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs UD Alzira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 54%, draw 25%, UD Alzira 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.