Zaragoza II 3-1 Real Sociedad III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.4
No Pick
68%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
38%
-5.4pp
68%
BTTS No
62%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.47/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.90
+7% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +45%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 8.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad III
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
295 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
3-1
AWAY Real Sociedad III
1.42 xG 1.34
35% Ball Possession 65%
18 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
167 Passes 421
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Real Sociedad III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II got the better of Real Sociedad III 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zaragoza II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 35% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 65%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.42 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Real Sociedad III?

Zaragoza II 3-1 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Real Sociedad III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 50%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad III 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaragoza II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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