Preussen Münster 2-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 28 Jan 2024

Preussen Münster
2-1 HT 1-1
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Preussen Münster vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.02
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
11%
5.36
X/2
9%
6.44
X/X
10%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
22.6
2/2
19%
3.89
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 14% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preussen Münster v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.26/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.29
+53% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.4 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Preussen Münster vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
20.02.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-2 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster ALMBÖL
14.09.2021 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-3 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL
13.03.2021 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL
17.10.2020 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster ALMBÖL

Preussen Münster 2-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
2-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster nicked a narrow win over Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Preussen Münster as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 44% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 56%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preussen Münster and 1.00 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Preussen Münster 2-1 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 45%, draw 22%, Rot-Weiss Essen 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preussen Münster), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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