1860 München 1-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 28 Jan 2024

1860 München
1-1 HT 0-1
Sandhausen
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

1860 München vs Sandhausen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.17
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.04
X/2
8%
6.1
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
16%
4.15
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

1860 München v Sandhausen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.86/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.43
+25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
315 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.8 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5

1860 München vs Sandhausen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
284 Passes 245
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
9 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-0 HT 2-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
16.04.2017 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 1-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
06.11.2016 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-2 HT 1-2 1860 München 1860 München AL2
04.03.2016 1860 München 1860 München 3-2 HT 2-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
22.09.2015 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL2
08.03.2015 1860 München 1860 München 2-3 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2

1860 München 1-1 Sandhausen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
1-1
AWAY Sandhausen
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München and Sandhausen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was 1860 München at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, 1860 München had 46% of the ball to Sandhausen's 54%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandhausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for 1860 München and 2.17 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Sandhausen?

1860 München 1-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 48%, draw 23%, Sandhausen 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ BTTS No
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