Liverpool 5-2 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.94
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
10.2
2-3 Goals
38%
2.57
4-5 Goals
25%
2.3
6+ Goals
15%
3.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.24
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
30.5
X/1
18%
3.73
X/2
6%
33.0
X/X
10%
13.75
2/1
8%
19.05
2/2
6%
21.3
2/X
6%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
80%
-21.0pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.5pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 11%
-18% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.69/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.15
-7% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +133%
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
481 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
28.1 Crosses 11.2
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Norwich City
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.04 xG 1.07
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
501 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 2-0 Norwich City Norwich City FAK
19.02.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 3-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNP
21.09.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
14.08.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
15.02.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
09.08.2019 Liverpool Liverpool 4-1 HT 4-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
5-2
AWAY Norwich City
3.53 xG 0.12
73% Ball Possession 27%
29 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 2
653 Passes 220
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
69 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool cruised past Norwich City 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool had 73% of the ball to Norwich City's 27%, shots finished 29-6, expected goals 3.53 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Liverpool and 0.50 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Norwich City?

Liverpool 5-2 Norwich City in the England - FA Cup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 59%, draw 23%, Norwich City 18%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5
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