Altay 0-2 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
16.01
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
58%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 31% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
18.2
1/2
4%
25.5
1/X
6%
26.0
X/1
7%
21.2
X/2
27%
3.25
X/X
12%
7.2
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
27%
1.48
2/X
4%
25.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
4%
+15.9pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
58%
Away Win
80%
-21.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.2pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altay EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 84%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.3 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altay
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.97 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 2
280 Passes 260
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-2 HT 2-0 Altay Altay T1L
14.05.2017 Altay Altay 1-1 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S3-1P
27.02.2010 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-3 HT 1-1 Altay Altay T1L
03.10.2009 Altay Altay 1-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.07.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 5-1 HT 1-0 Altay Altay KAR
11.05.2008 Altay Altay 0-1 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altay
0-2
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.15 xG 1.61
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
157 Passes 426
58% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altay vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor got the better of Altay 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Altay had 33% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 67%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.15 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Altay and 2.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Altay vs Kocaelispor?

Altay 0-2 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altay vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Altay 20%, draw 22%, Kocaelispor 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ BTTS No
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