Bodrum FK 1-0 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 34% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
18%
4.25
X/2
9%
7.34
X/X
13%
4.64
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
14%
5.64
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.5pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.52/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
+30% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
16.5 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 246
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
28.04.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-1 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
03.12.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
1-0
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.80 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
207 Passes 157
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK squeezed past Gençlerbirliği 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 54% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.80 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bodrum FK and 1.00 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Gençlerbirliği?

Bodrum FK 1-0 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 47%, draw 24%, Gençlerbirliği 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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