AFC Telford United 6-2 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
51%
-14.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
36%
Away Win
25%
+11.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.76/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.46
+1% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bedford Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11.01.2025 Bedford Town Bedford Town 2-3 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
6-2
AWAY Bedford Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United ran out comfortable winners over Bedford Town 6-2. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day AFC Telford United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 55% of the ball to Bedford Town's 45%, shots finished 22-11.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town?

AFC Telford United 6-2 Bedford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 37%, draw 27%, Bedford Town 36%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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