Morpeth Town vs Guiseley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Morpeth Town v Guiseley — Team-Based Signals
Morpeth Town vs Guiseley Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Guiseley
İNGNLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
1-3
HT 1-0
Guiseley
İNGNLP
Morpeth Town 2-0 Guiseley — Actual Match Statistics
Morpeth Town got the better of Guiseley 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Morpeth Town had 45% of the ball to Guiseley's 55%, shots finished 11-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guiseley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Morpeth Town and 2.40 for Guiseley.
What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Guiseley?
Morpeth Town 2-0 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Guiseley?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 31%, draw 24%, Guiseley 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.