Mickleover Sports 1-3 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.2pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.55/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.72
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +92%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
256 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mickleover Sports
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Mickleover Sports 0-3 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 3-0 HT 0-0 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
21.08.2021 Mickleover Sports 2-1 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
17.10.2020 Ashton United Ashton United 0-3 HT 0-2 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mickleover Sports
1-3
AWAY Ashton United
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mickleover Sports vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United got the better of Mickleover Sports 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ashton United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mickleover Sports had 50% of the ball to Ashton United's 50%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Mickleover Sports and 1.75 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Mickleover Sports vs Ashton United?

Mickleover Sports 1-3 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mickleover Sports vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mickleover Sports 35%, draw 26%, Ashton United 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ashton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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