RFC Seraing 0-2 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.39/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.58
-23% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
21.4 Crosses 21.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 Passes 239
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 HT 2-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
27.01.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-1 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
21.10.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
17.04.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-0 HT 0-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
28.02.2021 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
07.11.2020 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
0-2
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.77 xG 1.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
167 Passes 256
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen saw off RFC Seraing 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lierse Kempenzonen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 43% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 57%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.77 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for RFC Seraing and 1.33 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

RFC Seraing 0-2 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 32%, draw 24%, Lierse Kempenzonen 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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