Aguilas Doradas 1-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.03/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
-1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
17.5 Crosses 12.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-4D-0L
AWAY La Equidad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.98 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 242
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
14.02.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
21.10.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
06.05.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.07.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
03.02.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-1
AWAY La Equidad
1.61 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
329 Passes 225
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas and La Equidad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 57% of the ball to La Equidad's 43%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.61 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 0.50 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs La Equidad?

Aguilas Doradas 1-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 39%, draw 31%, La Equidad 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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