Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
3-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima got the better of Deportivo Pasto 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 39%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.17 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 49%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pasto 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.