Smouha 2-1 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 28 Jan 2025

Smouha
2-1 HT 1-1
Masr
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.61
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +23%
1.33/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.95
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +97%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
16.6 Crosses 12.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Masr
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.73 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 Passes 329
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2025 Smouha Smouha 1-0 Masr MSRK
09.05.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-2 HT 0-1 Masr MSR
28.10.2023 Masr 1-1 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
31.10.2020 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 2-0 Masr MSR
08.02.2020 Masr 0-1 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
2-1
AWAY Masr
0.54 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
202 Passes 262
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha edged past Masr 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Smouha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Smouha had 45% of the ball to Masr's 55%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.54 to 1.13 — on chances, Masr could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Smouha and 0.60 for Masr.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Masr?

Smouha 2-1 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Smouha 38%, draw 29%, Masr 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MSR More Egypt - Premier League
28 Jan 2025
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