Pisa 2-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Feb 2024

Pisa
2-2 HT 1-0
Modena
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Pisa vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
5.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
16%
5.11
X/2
11%
5.68
X/X
19%
3.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.45
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pisa v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.33/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.51
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.2 Crosses 17.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Pisa vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Modena
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
324 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
11.03.2023 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
23.10.2022 Pisa Pisa 4-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
07.02.2009 Modena Modena 3-3 HT 2-3 Pisa Pisa İTB
13.09.2008 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
29.03.2008 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB

Pisa 2-2 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
2-2
AWAY Modena
0.90 xG 1.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
274 Passes 393
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa and Modena shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pisa had 42% of the ball to Modena's 58%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.90 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pisa and 1.33 for Modena.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Modena?

Pisa 2-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pisa 39%, draw 31%, Modena 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pisa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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