Venezia 2-0 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Feb 2024

Venezia
2-0 HT 1-0
Cittadella
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Venezia vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.97 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.28
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
15%
3.87
X/2
8%
9.09
X/X
16%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.47
2/X
7%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.96/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.25
+28% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
24.9 Crosses 22.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3

Venezia vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Cittadella
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.26 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
267 Passes 285
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
28.01.2023 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
28.08.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
27.05.2021 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
23.05.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 0-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
10.05.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB

Venezia 2-0 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-0
AWAY Cittadella
1.30 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 14
349 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 46
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia beat Cittadella 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Venezia had 52% of the ball to Cittadella's 48%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.30 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Venezia and 0.67 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Cittadella?

Venezia 2-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Venezia 42%, draw 31%, Cittadella 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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