Borgosesia 2-4 Alba Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
48%
4-5
14%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
48%
-15.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
39%
Away Win
25%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borgosesia The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alba Calcio The Market 29%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.47
-14% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Borgosesia vs Alba Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alba Calcio beat Borgosesia 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Alba Calcio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Borgosesia vs Alba Calcio?

Borgosesia 2-4 Alba Calcio in the Italy - Serie D on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borgosesia vs Alba Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alba Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Borgosesia 32%, draw 29%, Alba Calcio 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alba Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alba Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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