Portici 3-1 San Luca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Portici win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
53%
+6.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portici The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Luca The Market 23%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portici
3-1
AWAY San Luca
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Portici vs San Luca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portici saw off San Luca 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portici as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portici had 47% of the ball to San Luca's 53%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Portici vs San Luca?

Portici 3-1 San Luca in the Italy - Serie D on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portici vs San Luca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portici win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Portici 59%, draw 21%, San Luca 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portici) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portici) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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