Shanghai Port 2-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
19%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.87
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
21%
4.24
X/2
6%
11.35
X/X
8%
6.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.0
2/2
9%
8.27
2/X
6%
16.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.0 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.55/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.96
+14% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +68%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.2 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.62 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
401 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-4 HT 1-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
10.05.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-2 HT 3-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
15.09.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-3 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
31.12.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-0 HT 4-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
09.10.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-4 HT 1-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
2-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
412 Passes 309
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port saw off Changchun YaTai 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 56% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 44%, shots finished 26-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.00 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Changchun YaTai?

Shanghai Port 2-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 61%, draw 20%, Changchun YaTai 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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