Stade Ouchy 2-1 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.24/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.16
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.6 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-2 HT 2-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
20.09.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
15.09.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSVK
28.04.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-2 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
12.02.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-4 HT 1-3 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
26.11.2022 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
2-1
AWAY Wil 1900
2.37 xG 2.88
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
174 Passes 366
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 24
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy squeezed past Wil 1900 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stade Ouchy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 35% of the ball to Wil 1900's 65%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.37 to 2.88 — on chances, Wil 1900 could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.33 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Wil 1900?

Stade Ouchy 2-1 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 38%, draw 26%, Wil 1900 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
28 Feb 2025
22:15 Thun vs Stade Nyonnais Analysis →