Thun 2-2 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
2.07/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.03
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.7 Crosses 14.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.25 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
266 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-6 HT 0-3 Thun Thun İSV2
25.08.2024 Thun Thun 4-2 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
25.06.2024 Thun Thun 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais HAZ
27.04.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
02.02.2024 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
24.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
2-2
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.92 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
443 Passes 256
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 7
38 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thun vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun and Stade Nyonnais shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Thun at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Thun had 61% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 39%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.92 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Thun and 1.17 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Thun vs Stade Nyonnais?

Thun 2-2 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Thun 53%, draw 22%, Stade Nyonnais 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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