Fiorentina 1-0 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Feb 2025

Fiorentina
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Lecce
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.56
Over
40%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.12
No
54%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.33
2-3
48%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.79
6+
3%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.58
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
20%
4.2
X/2
9%
8.25
X/X
20%
3.91
2/1
2%
29.5
2/2
10%
7.24
2/X
5%
15.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Fiorentina v Lecce — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fiorentina The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce The Market 25%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.68 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Fiorentina vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lecce
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
393 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Lecce Lecce 0-6 HT 0-3 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
02.02.2024 Lecce Lecce 3-2 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
27.08.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
19.03.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
17.10.2022 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
15.07.2020 Lecce Lecce 1-3 HT 0-3 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA

Fiorentina 1-0 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
1 - 0
AWAY Lecce
1.69 xG 0.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
317 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Fiorentina vs Lecce
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fiorentina nicked a narrow win over Lecce 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (60%) came home.

Under the surface, Lecce saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.69 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Fiorentina against 1.17 for Lecce.

Fiorentina vs Lecce Result & Final Score

Fiorentina 1 - 0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 50%, draw 29%, Lecce 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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