Südtirol 1-1 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Feb 2025

Südtirol
1-1 HT 1-1
Spezia
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Südtirol vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.97
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
4%
16.0
X/1
6%
9.2
X/2
10%
4.17
X/X
21%
4.13
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.36
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Südtirol v Spezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.96/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.89
-10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
15.3 Crosses 22.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Südtirol vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Spezia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.49 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
346 Passes 361
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Spezia Spezia 3-0 HT 2-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
09.03.2024 Spezia Spezia 2-1 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
20.08.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 3-3 HT 1-2 Spezia Spezia İTB

Südtirol 1-1 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-1
AWAY Spezia
1.31 xG 2.54
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
139 Passes 390
62% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 54
16 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol and Spezia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Spezia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Südtirol had 33% of the ball to Spezia's 67%, shots finished 14-26, expected goals 1.31 to 2.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Südtirol and 2.67 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Spezia?

Südtirol 1-1 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 21%, draw 31%, Spezia 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spezia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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