Stuttgart 1-3 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 28 Feb 2025

Stuttgart
1-3 HT 1-1
Bayern Münih
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.62
2-3 Goals
34%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.73
6+ Goals
15%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.15
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
9%
9.24
X/2
20%
4.55
X/X
11%
5.97
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.19
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.15 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -27%
1.47/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.30
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -39%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 84%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
16.4 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.05 xG 2.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
373 Passes 524
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
04.05.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
17.12.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
04.03.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
10.09.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
08.05.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-2 HT 2-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1

Stuttgart 1-3 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-3
AWAY Bayern Münih
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
394 Passes 371
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih got the better of Stuttgart 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stuttgart had 53% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 47%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stuttgart and 2.33 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih?

Stuttgart 1-3 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 25%, draw 23%, Bayern Münih 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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