Bayern Münih 4-0 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.46
Over 2.5
66%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.96
2-3 Goals
38%
2.43
4-5 Goals
28%
2.35
6+ Goals
18%
3.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.53
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.6
X/1
21%
3.98
X/2
8%
17.3
X/X
6%
9.48
2/1
8%
17.6
2/2
6%
10.7
2/X
6%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
25%
+9.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
75%
-9.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
2.67/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.00
+33% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
496 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
40.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.8 Crosses 12.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stuttgart
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.50 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
512 Passes 391
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
17.12.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
04.03.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
10.09.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
08.05.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-2 HT 2-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
14.12.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-5 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
4-0
AWAY Stuttgart
3.38 xG 0.51
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
626 Passes 281
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
46 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih swept aside Stuttgart 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 66% of the ball to Stuttgart's 34%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.38 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.33 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Stuttgart?

Bayern Münih 4-0 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 55%, draw 20%, Stuttgart 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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