Hoffenheim 3-1 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.58
2-3 Goals
35%
2.26
4-5 Goals
34%
2.42
6+ Goals
16%
4.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.8
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.9
X/1
12%
4.16
X/2
9%
12.1
X/X
10%
8.01
2/1
7%
17.65
2/2
13%
7.49
2/X
5%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.6pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
2.25/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.94
-1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
441 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
22.1 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bochum
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.43 xG 2.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
343 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Bochum Bochum 3-2 HT 2-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
08.12.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-1 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
04.02.2023 Bochum Bochum 5-2 HT 3-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
13.08.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-2 HT 2-2 Bochum Bochum AL1
02.04.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
06.11.2021 Bochum Bochum 2-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
3-1
AWAY Bochum
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
321 Passes 327
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim saw off Bochum 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoffenheim as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 50% of the ball to Bochum's 50%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hoffenheim and 2.50 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Bochum?

Hoffenheim 3-1 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 46%, draw 24%, Bochum 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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