Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2024

Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 HT 1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.74
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
30%
2.62
6+ Goals
16%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
15%
3.91
X/2
9%
12.9
X/X
9%
7.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
19.3
2/2
7%
8.79
2/X
6%
16.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 15% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen v Eintracht Frankfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.87/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.88
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.4 Crosses 13.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.85 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
450 Passes 408
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-5 HT 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
17.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
08.04.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
15.10.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 HT 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
02.05.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
12.12.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-2 HT 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
3.89 xG 1.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
27 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
498 Passes 412
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
56 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen nicked a narrow win over Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 54% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 46%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 3.89 to 1.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayer Leverkusen's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 2.00 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 56%, draw 22%, Eintracht Frankfurt 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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