Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.56
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.81
X/2
9%
7.84
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
15%
5.47
2/X
8%
13.55
Value flag · X/1 at 4.81 — our 23% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.73/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.64
+25% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.0 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 362
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
20.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.11.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
18.02.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
14.08.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
23.05.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-2
AWAY Greuther Fürth
0.29 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
461 Passes 412
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth edged past Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 53% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 47%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.29 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.50 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 46%, draw 24%, Greuther Fürth 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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