Ceilandia 2-2 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.5pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceilandia EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceilandia
2-2
AWAY Coritiba
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ceilandia vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceilandia and Coritiba shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Coritiba at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ceilandia had 44% of the ball to Coritiba's 56%, shots finished 9-21.

What was the final score of Ceilandia vs Coritiba?

Ceilandia 2-2 Coritiba in the Brazil - Cup on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceilandia vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ceilandia 29%, draw 23%, Coritiba 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coritiba) ✗ Under 2.5
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